Rayonier Advanced Valuation

RYAM Stock  USD 7.90  0.14  1.80%   
At this time, the company appears to be fairly valued. Rayonier Advanced holds a recent Real Value of $7.85 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $7.9. Our model determines the value of Rayonier Advanced from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.77, shares outstanding of 67.01 M, and Operating Margin of 0.03 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Rayonier Advanced's valuation include:
Price Book
1.581
Enterprise Value
1.3 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
9.6634
Price Sales
0.3534
Forward PE
23.4742
Fairly Valued
Today
7.90
Please note that Rayonier Advanced's price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Rayonier Advanced is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Rayonier Advanced's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Rayonier stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Rayonier Advanced Materials. Since Rayonier Advanced is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Rayonier Stock. However, Rayonier Advanced's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  7.9 Real  7.85 Target  9.0 Hype  7.93 Naive  6.6
The intrinsic value of Rayonier Advanced's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Rayonier Advanced's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
7.85
Real Value
11.78
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Rayonier Advanced Materials helps investors to forecast how Rayonier stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Rayonier Advanced more accurately as focusing exclusively on Rayonier Advanced's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.060.090.12
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.007.9311.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.676.6010.53
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
8.199.009.99
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Rayonier Advanced's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Rayonier Advanced's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Rayonier Advanced's closest peers.

Rayonier Advanced Cash

106.29 Million

Rayonier Revenue by Product

Rayonier Advanced Total Value Analysis

Rayonier Advanced Materials is at this time forecasted to have valuation of 1.25 B with market capitalization of 519.96 M, debt of 729.82 M, and cash on hands of 147.75 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Rayonier Advanced fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.25 B
519.96 M
729.82 M
147.75 M

Rayonier Advanced Investor Information

About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.58. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Rayonier Advanced has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 861.11. The entity recorded a loss per share of 6.12. The firm last dividend was issued on the 13th of June 2019. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Rayonier Advanced's historical financial statements, Rayonier Advanced Materials is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities150.2 M183.2 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile

Rayonier Advanced Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The recent return on assets of Rayonier suggests not a very effective usage of assets in February.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Rayonier Advanced Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Rayonier Advanced's financial statements, Rayonier Advanced Materials may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Rayonier Advanced's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2012-03-31
Previous Quarter
-363.2 M
Current Value
-4 M
Quarterly Volatility
71 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Rayonier Advanced's Gross Profit is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 3rd of February 2026, Gross Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.18, though Pretax Profit Margin is likely to grow to (0.03).
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.180.12
Way Up
Slightly volatile
For Rayonier Advanced profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Rayonier Advanced to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Rayonier Advanced utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Rayonier Advanced's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Rayonier Advanced over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Rayonier Advanced Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Rayonier Advanced is estimated to be 0.0875 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.0625 to a high of 0.115. Rayonier Advanced's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -6.12. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Rayonier Advanced Materials is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Rayonier Advanced is projected to generate 0.0875 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Rayonier Advanced earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Rayonier Advanced EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Rayonier Advanced's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Rayonier Advanced, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Rayonier Advanced Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Rayonier Advanced's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Rayonier Advanced is estimated to be 0.0875 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.0625 to a high of 0.115. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Rayonier Advanced Materials is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.06
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.0875
0.12
Highest

Rayonier Advanced Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Rayonier Advanced's value are higher than the current market price of the Rayonier Advanced stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Rayonier Advanced is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Rayonier Advanced's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
136.48%
0.0
0.0875
-6.12

Rayonier Advanced Ownership Allocation

Rayonier Advanced owns a total of 67.01 Million outstanding shares. Over half of Rayonier Advanced's outstanding shares are owned by third-party entities. These third-party entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that secure positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. On August 25, 2014, Senator Angus King of US Senate acquired under $15k worth of Rayonier Advanced's common stock.

Rayonier Advanced Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.63 B. Net Loss for the year was (41.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 118.71 M.

About Rayonier Advanced Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rayonier Advanced Materials. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Rayonier Advanced based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Rayonier Advanced's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Rayonier Advanced's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Rayonier Advanced. We calculate exposure to Rayonier Advanced's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Rayonier Advanced's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit149 M154 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.04)(0.03)
Operating Profit Margin 0.03  0.03 
Net Loss(0.03)(0.03)
Gross Profit Margin 0.12  0.18 

Rayonier Advanced Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Rayonier Advanced does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding65.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.704
Forward Price Earnings23.4742

Rayonier Advanced Current Valuation Indicators

Rayonier Advanced's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Rayonier Advanced's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Rayonier Advanced, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Rayonier Advanced's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Rayonier Advanced's worth.
When determining whether Rayonier Advanced is a strong investment it is important to analyze Rayonier Advanced's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Rayonier Advanced's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Rayonier Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Rayonier Advanced Materials. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Will Specialty Chemicals sector continue expanding? Could Rayonier diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rayonier Advanced. Anticipated expansion of Rayonier directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Rayonier Advanced data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.70)
Earnings Share
(6.12)
Revenue Per Share
22.122
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Return On Assets
0.0042
The market value of Rayonier Advanced is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rayonier that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rayonier Advanced's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rayonier Advanced's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Rayonier Advanced's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rayonier Advanced's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Rayonier Advanced's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Rayonier Advanced should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Rayonier Advanced's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.